This is a copy of the latest email newsletter received by members of the site.


If you would like to become a member and have the opportunity to comment then please use the Member sign-up form on the home page or under the 'Member's menu tab.


Alternatively if you would prefer to just receive the newsletters then please use the newsletter sign-up box below.





Probably42 News - September 2023


Probably42 logo




Welcome to our September Newsletter!


In our last newsletter at the end of July we previewed our discussion on Party Manifestos, a topic we thought was timely as we enter party conference season and the parties start to develop their manifestos.


We had a very good discussion on this subject and captured ideas on how we think democracy could be improved by changes to the manifestos and surrounding process – see Party Manifesto Preparation. More importantly we decided to turn this into a challenge to the parties that we could send to them and developed it in the form of an Invitation to Tender for the role of H.M. Government. In particular, the ITT introduces the concept of a ‘Summary Manifesto’, which can be realistically read by the general public, as the shop window for parties; to include:

  • The Vision and Ambition for our future society over the long-term i.e. the next 20-25 years
  • The Values and Principles of the party i.e. a statement of what they stand for, given all the adjustments over recent years
  • The long-term objectives and policies as well as short term, focusing on transformative proposals
  • The Manifesto as a living document with a Change Control process and annual progress reporting


We duly sent this off to the parties plus various politicians, media and think tanks, emphasising the lack of ambition and long-term thinking in most manifestos. In addition we did our own summary manifesto as an example: Manifesto for Society in the Artificial Intelligence Future (Summary Version).


See what you think. Would a summary manifesto as described improve democracy and our understanding of how they want to develop our long-term future?


Recent Discussions


The outputs of our other discussions since the last newsletter are at Improving Decision Making and The Implications for Society of Longer Healthy Lives. The latter was particularly interesting as it gave us new perspectives on the science around healthier aging but also on the problems for society of both longer lifespans and longer healhspans.


Forthcoming Discussions


As migration is very much in the news these days, not least with Suella Braverman’s speech in the USA, we decided it was time to re-visit the subject, looking at global migration impacts as well as UK impacts. The draft agenda is at: Global Migration Impacts.


Government Information that may interest you


As usual we highlight more examples of information on Parliament activity and outputs which may interest you:


Why not join a Group?


If you’d like to join one of the Probably42 discussion groups held via videoconferencing, just email in response to this newsletter and we’ll send you more details. We very much want a diversity of viewpoints, so you can be sure your views will be welcomed. Remember it’s about relaxed discussion and having an enjoyable time, with hopefully some useful ideas identified.


We also want to encourage face-to-face real world discussion groups, as feeders into the main online discussions. If you’d like to find out more about the one in Berkshire, or if you’d like to see one start in your area, just email in response to this newsletter and we’ll send you details.




We always welcome any feedback, thoughts, ideas or questions about Probably42. Simply reply to this newsletter and you’ll receive a personal reply.


All the best





Previous Newsletters


Just click on any of the links below to display the newsletter:


Most recent Newsletters


September 2023


May 2023 


Earlier Newsletters


March 2023

February 2023

November-December 2022

October 2022




January 2022

Nov-Dec 2021

October 2021

September 2021

August 2021

June/July 2021

April 2021

March 2021

February 2021

January 2021